Our Trading Performance

Since 2016, we have published real-time trade alerts for both SPX and SPY using our Daily Outlook strategy. Each morning, after the market opens, we share a clear entry plan along with defined profit targets and stop levels. The results below show every completed Daily Outlook trade from the real-time alerts we published. They are not backtested or simulated. You’ll find both long-term results since inception and rolling 12-month performance statistics.

SPX Daily Outlook

Data last updated: 9/30/2026

Since 2016

  • Win Rate: 58%
  • Avg P/L per Trade: +23%
  • Profit Factor: 2.44
  • Average Win / Loss: 1.75
  • Total Trades: 2204
  • Average Monthly Return: +399%

Rolling 12-Month Statistics

  • Win Rate: 55%
  • Avg P/L per Trade: +10%
  • Profit Factor: 2.07
  • Average Win / Loss: 1.65
  • Total Trades: 180
  • Average Monthly Return: +153%

View full SPX performance

SPY Daily Outlook

Data last updated: 9/30/2026

Since 2016

  • Win Rate: 57%
  • Avg P/L per Trade: +18%
  • Profit Factor: 2.16
  • Average Win / Loss: 1.61
  • Total Trades: 2025
  • Average Monthly Return: +300%

Rolling 12-Month Statistics

  • Win Rate: 55%
  • Avg P/L per Trade: +9%
  • Profit Factor: 2.00
  • Average Win / Loss: 1.62
  • Total Trades: 181
  • Average Monthly Return: +143%

View full SPY performance

Rolling 12-month statistics summarize the trailing 12 months. For the most current week-by-week results, view our Weekly Recaps, which are updated throughout each trading week.

*Performance results are based on our model portfolio and reflect trades published in our Daily Outlook alerts. Results do not include commissions or slippage, and actual outcomes may differ. All outcomes are measured on the SPX index and on SPY during regular U.S. trading hours (9:30–4:00 Eastern). Past performance does not guarantee future results. These statistics are provided for informational purposes only and may not reflect the results of individual subscribers.